No. ARI beat WRO 85-78, but WRO's shots were worth 105.7 points to ARI's 90.1.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 54 | 49 | 59.1 | 36/39 | 31.0 | 85 | 90.1 |
| WRO | 73 | 58 | 84.5 | 20/28 | 21.1 | 78 | 105.7 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.