NIO 56-66 BOU, October 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOU beat NIO 66-56, and BOU's shots were worth 72.2 points to NIO's 70.9.

NIO 56-66 BOU, October 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NIO614761.39/139.65670.9
BOU645862.48/139.86672.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.