LLI 87-71 TRN, October 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LLI beat TRN 87-71, but TRN's shots were worth 80.4 points to LLI's 72.4.

LLI 87-71 TRN, October 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LLI557659.711/1812.78772.4
TRN635463.017/2417.57180.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.