LJU 80-59 ARI, October 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LJU beat ARI 80-59, and LJU's shots were worth 88.0 points to ARI's 69.4.

LJU 80-59 ARI, October 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LJU	61	67	72.7	13/20	15.3	80	88.0
ARI	46	42	50.6	17/25	18.8	59	69.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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