BUD 96-107 TRN, October 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. TRN beat BUD 107-96, but BUD's shots were worth 100.3 points to TRN's 84.7.

BUD 96-107 TRN, October 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BUD767077.326/3123.096100.3
TRN688865.019/2619.710784.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.