VNC 83-80 JER, February 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. VNC beat JER 83-80, but JER's shots were worth 92.7 points to VNC's 80.5.

VNC 83-80 JER, February 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VNC	67	69	67.8	14/17	12.8	83	80.5
JER	75	62	72.7	18/26	20.0	80	92.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.