NIN 86-67 LKB, October 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NIN beat LKB 86-67, but LKB's shots were worth 81.4 points to NIN's 72.7.

NIN 86-67 LKB, October 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NIN556956.317/2216.48672.7
LKB735569.212/1712.36781.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.