NIN 81-67 TRN, February 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NIN beat TRN 81-67, and NIN's shots were worth 75.8 points to TRN's 68.1.

NIN 81-67 TRN, February 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NIN555653.225/2922.68175.8
TRN575656.911/1511.26768.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.