BOU 86-85 LLI, February 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOU beat LLI 86-85, and BOU's shots were worth 84.1 points to LLI's 77.8.

BOU 86-85 LLI, February 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BOU576158.625/3425.58684.1
LLI566356.022/3021.88577.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.