JER 114-104 CLU, February 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. JER beat CLU 114-104, and JER's shots were worth 103.5 points to CLU's 100.3.

JER 114-104 CLU, February 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
JER808876.926/3426.6114103.5
CLU808582.219/2418.0104100.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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