BAH 81-79 ARI, January 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAH beat ARI 81-79, and BAH's shots were worth 83.2 points to ARI's 81.8.

BAH 81-79 ARI, January 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAH596770.714/1612.58183.2
ARI576567.414/1814.47981.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.