VNC 86-84 LJU, January 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. VNC beat LJU 86-84, but LJU's shots were worth 81.7 points to VNC's 76.5.

VNC 86-84 LJU, January 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VNC627363.313/1813.38676.5
LJU677367.811/1913.98481.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.