LLI 72-73 ULM, January 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ULM beat LLI 73-72, but LLI's shots were worth 82.4 points to ULM's 79.9.

LLI 72-73 ULM, January 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LLI545862.214/2820.17282.4
ULM606168.312/1611.67379.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.