HAM 95-87 VNC, January 21, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HAM beat VNC 95-87, and HAM's shots were worth 85.2 points to VNC's 85.1.

HAM 95-87 VNC, January 21, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HAM	68	76	70.0	19/21	15.2	95	85.2
VNC	67	73	70.8	14/19	14.3	87	85.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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