No. ULM beat NIN 88-76, but NIN's shots were worth 87.8 points to ULM's 82.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 64 | 78 | 71.9 | 10/15 | 10.6 | 88 | 82.5 |
| NIN | 66 | 62 | 72.6 | 14/20 | 15.2 | 76 | 87.8 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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