BOU 99-103 BES, January 14, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BES beat BOU 103-99, but BOU's shots were worth 93.0 points to BES's 89.3.

BOU 99-103 BES, January 14, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BOU596759.332/4533.79993.0
BES648268.721/2720.610389.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.