TRN 88-87 NIO, January 13, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TRN beat NIO 88-87, and TRN's shots were worth 95.8 points to NIO's 80.3.

TRN 88-87 NIO, January 13, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TRN	68	66	75.3	22/26	20.6	88	95.8
NIO	61	75	68.8	12/15	11.5	87	80.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.