ARI 77-96 JER, January 14, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. JER beat ARI 96-77, and JER's shots were worth 93.5 points to ARI's 78.0.

ARI 77-96 JER, January 14, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ARI586566.612/1511.47778.0
JER687976.817/2216.79693.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.