No. ARI beat HAM 98-76, but HAM's shots were worth 97.3 points to ARI's 88.0.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 65 | 81 | 71.7 | 17/21 | 16.3 | 98 | 88.0 |
| HAM | 63 | 50 | 72.0 | 26/35 | 25.3 | 76 | 97.3 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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