NIO 97-85 BUD, January 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. NIO beat BUD 97-85, but BUD's shots were worth 81.0 points to NIO's 79.0.

NIO 97-85 BUD, January 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NIO598266.015/1713.09779.0
BUD607265.213/2215.88581.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.