No. MAN beat ARI 113-99, but ARI's shots were worth 95.4 points to MAN's 86.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAN | 66 | 96 | 72.4 | 17/18 | 14.1 | 113 | 86.5 |
| ARI | 69 | 79 | 73.6 | 20/28 | 21.8 | 99 | 95.4 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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