NIO 69-94 ULM, December 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ULM beat NIO 94-69, but NIO's shots were worth 98.9 points to ULM's 92.7.

NIO 69-94 ULM, December 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NIO704674.623/3324.46998.9
ULM667772.717/2720.09492.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.