LLI 98-96 BES, December 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LLI beat BES 98-96, but BES's shots were worth 87.1 points to LLI's 81.5.

LLI 98-96 BES, December 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LLI617760.121/3021.39881.5
BES546857.228/3929.89687.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.