LJU 81-84 JER, December 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. JER beat LJU 84-81, but LJU's shots were worth 99.4 points to JER's 80.9.

LJU 81-84 JER, December 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LJU706683.815/2015.68199.4
JER515856.226/3124.68480.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.