LKB 85-79 BES, October 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LKB beat BES 85-79, but BES's shots were worth 77.9 points to LKB's 70.8.

LKB 85-79 BES, October 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LKB607058.515/1612.28570.8
BES636766.712/1511.27977.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.