PAM 96-83 JER, December 4, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PAM beat JER 96-83, but JER's shots were worth 91.8 points to PAM's 87.0.

PAM 96-83 JER, December 4, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAM	64	80	72.0	16/20	15.0	96	87.0
JER	65	66	76.7	17/19	15.0	83	91.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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