BOU 96-107 PAM, November 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. PAM beat BOU 107-96, and the shots on each side were worth 96.7.

BOU 96-107 PAM, November 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOU	69	74	75.5	22/28	21.2	96	96.7
PAM	74	93	80.6	14/21	16.1	107	96.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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