ARI 59-63 PAM, November 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAM beat ARI 63-59, and PAM's shots were worth 86.8 points to ARI's 74.4.

ARI 59-63 PAM, November 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ARI	63	50	63.6	9/15	10.8	59	74.4
PAM	69	51	71.7	12/20	15.1	63	86.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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