Neither side had the better shots. BUD beat ULM 105-100, and the shots on each side were worth 80.5.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUD | 68 | 94 | 69.8 | 11/14 | 10.7 | 105 | 80.5 |
| ULM | 66 | 87 | 69.4 | 13/15 | 11.1 | 100 | 80.5 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.