JER 64-80 PAM, September 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAM beat JER 80-64, and PAM's shots were worth 101.8 points to JER's 77.7.

JER 64-80 PAM, September 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
JER	56	45	56.8	19/27	21.0	64	77.7
PAM	77	66	86.2	14/21	15.7	80	101.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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