No. ARI beat BOU 91-88, but BOU's shots were worth 86.2 points to ARI's 82.9.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOU | 66 | 69 | 68.5 | 19/23 | 17.6 | 88 | 86.2 |
| ARI | 62 | 75 | 67.6 | 16/20 | 15.3 | 91 | 82.9 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.