No. WOL beat BES 93-78, but BES's shots were worth 86.1 points to WOL's 78.4.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WOL | 53 | 69 | 56.8 | 24/27 | 21.6 | 93 | 78.4 |
| BES | 71 | 69 | 76.8 | 9/12 | 9.3 | 78 | 86.1 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.