VNC 80-68 HAM, October 22, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. VNC beat HAM 80-68, but HAM's shots were worth 76.0 points to VNC's 65.4.

VNC 80-68 HAM, October 22, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VNC	54	65	49.3	15/22	16.1	80	65.4
HAM	61	53	59.5	15/22	16.6	68	76.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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