LKB 74-92 ARI, October 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ARI beat LKB 92-74, but LKB's shots were worth 81.8 points to ARI's 64.9.

LKB 74-92 ARI, October 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LKB524453.730/3728.17481.8
ARI537953.813/1511.29264.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.