JER 89-74 HAM, October 9, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. JER beat HAM 89-74, and JER's shots were worth 98.6 points to HAM's 77.2.

JER 89-74 HAM, October 9, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
JER726876.521/2922.28998.6
HAM616165.113/1612.17477.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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