CAN 66-63 BAH, October 9, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CAN beat BAH 66-63, but BAH's shots were worth 69.4 points to CAN's 62.7.

CAN 66-63 BAH, October 9, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CAN	57	57	54.3	9/11	8.4	66	62.7
BAH	60	56	60.1	7/12	9.2	63	69.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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