PAM 105-78 HAM, October 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAM beat HAM 105-78, and PAM's shots were worth 104.6 points to HAM's 81.5.

PAM 105-78 HAM, October 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAM719288.613/2116.0105104.6
HAM667678.62/43.07881.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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