PAM 100-98 BOU, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PAM beat BOU 100-98, but BOU's shots were worth 111.7 points to PAM's 98.5.

PAM 100-98 BOU, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAM	68	87	85.7	13/16	12.8	100	98.5
BOU	80	86	98.0	12/18	13.7	98	111.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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