LJU 87-82 VNC, October 1, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. LJU beat VNC 87-82, but VNC's shots were worth 81.9 points to LJU's 79.0.

LJU 87-82 VNC, October 1, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LJU637264.415/1914.68779.0
VNC657571.67/1310.38281.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.