HAM 80-62 LJU, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HAM beat LJU 80-62, but LJU's shots were worth 81.6 points to HAM's 74.7.

HAM 80-62 LJU, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HAM626863.512/1511.38074.7
LJU604058.722/3022.96281.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.