ARI 74-89 CLU, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLU beat ARI 89-74, and CLU's shots were worth 87.1 points to ARI's 82.5.

ARI 74-89 CLU, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ARI646168.513/1914.07482.5
CLU687269.217/2418.08987.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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