ARI 88-90 HAM, January 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HAM beat ARI 90-88, and HAM's shots were worth 99.1 points to ARI's 88.3.

ARI 88-90 HAM, January 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ARI748077.18/1511.18888.3
HAM787281.018/2418.09099.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.