HTA 84-77 BAH, January 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HTA beat BAH 84-77, but BAH's shots were worth 73.4 points to HTA's 72.8.

HTA 84-77 BAH, January 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HTA566958.115/1914.78472.8
BAH596258.115/2015.27773.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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