No. BES beat WOL 79-77, but WOL's shots were worth 83.2 points to BES's 79.6.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BES | 59 | 56 | 60.7 | 23/25 | 19.0 | 79 | 79.6 |
| WOL | 61 | 56 | 63.8 | 21/24 | 19.4 | 77 | 83.2 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.