TRN 86-71 ULM, January 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. TRN beat ULM 86-71, but ULM's shots were worth 93.4 points to TRN's 81.6.

TRN 86-71 ULM, January 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TRN617569.511/1712.18681.6
ULM675578.416/2015.07193.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroCup games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.