No. CAN beat ULM 83-76, but ULM's shots were worth 85.1 points to CAN's 78.9.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 76 | 69 | 79.1 | 7/8 | 6.0 | 76 | 85.1 |
| CAN | 59 | 70 | 63.5 | 13/20 | 15.4 | 83 | 78.9 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.