VNC 81-74 PAM, January 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. VNC beat PAM 81-74, and VNC's shots were worth 81.3 points to PAM's 71.3.

VNC 81-74 PAM, January 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VNC	72	67	65.3	14/21	16.1	81	81.3
PAM	58	58	56.0	16/20	15.2	74	71.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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