ULM 104-87 BES, December 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ULM beat BES 104-87, but BES's shots were worth 93.2 points to ULM's 88.3.

ULM 104-87 BES, December 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ULM598666.918/2821.410488.3
BES656568.222/3425.08793.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.