ARI 81-66 LKB, December 17, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ARI beat LKB 81-66, and ARI's shots were worth 77.7 points to LKB's 71.9.

ARI 81-66 LKB, December 17, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ARI	63	69	65.2	12/17	12.6	81	77.7
LKB	60	58	61.9	8/13	10.0	66	71.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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