BUD 86-89 CAN, October 2, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. CAN beat BUD 89-86, but BUD's shots were worth 95.4 points to CAN's 69.6.

BUD 86-89 CAN, October 2, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BUD	72	69	74.6	17/27	20.8	86	95.4
CAN	58	77	60.2	12/12	9.4	89	69.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.